The Swedish financial system is stable and the financial sector’s preparedness for crisis and war has been strengthened. The geopolitical situation increases the risk of both financial and operational shocks in the financial system. The rapid technological development, particularly within artificial intelligence, is also enhancing the significance of operational risks and could make the risks in the financial sector more complex and difficult to assess.
The sentiment in the Swedish economy has improved in recent months even if households continue to demonstrate weaker sentiment than normal.
The uncertainty in geopolitical and economic developments is high, and the risk of negative shocks is higher now than it was last autumn. At the same time, Swedish banks have large capital buffers and good profitability, which builds resilience. Financial firms, households and firms all need to be prepared that the uncertainty could persist for a while. These are some of the conclusions from FI's first stability report of the year.